How might you predict the performance of a post or the outcome of a competition? Plus, exploring prediction performance after the fact.
In this blog post, a data scientist from Buzzfeed explains why building a model that predicts which posts will be popular on Reddit and similar sites is extremely challenging.
This Reddit user created a model to predict the outcome of the new season of the Great British Bake Off.
Metaculus is an online community all about prediction and forecasting. It includes both crowdsourcing and statistical models. This page features a series of charts that examine the accuracy of the site’s predictions.
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